A new survey by Sanity Africa reveals a significant shift in delegate support ahead of the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) 2026 presidential primaries, with Kennedy Ohene “Ken” Agyapong commanding 53.1% of projected votes and Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia trailing at 39.0%.
The survey, conducted between July and October 2025, gathered responses from 15,000 delegates across Ghana’s 276 constituencies. It reports a 99% confidence level with a ±5% margin of error.
Compared to Phase One (July 2025), Ken saw a 1.7-point gain, while Bawumia slipped 3.2 points.
Other aspirants fared as follows:
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Dr. Bryan Acheampong: 5.0% (up 1.9 points)
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Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum: 2.0% (down 1.0 point)
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Ing. Kwabena Agyepong: 0.9% (up from 0.3%)
Regionally, Ken leads in 10 out of 16 regions, with strong showings in Ashanti (54.8%), Central (69.0%), and Eastern (54.8%). Bawumia retains dominance in his northern strongholds, particularly North East (70.0%) and Upper West (60.2%). Tight contests are unfolding in Bono East, Savannah, and Upper East.
Notably, Bawumia’s support dramatically jumped in the North East from 51.6% to 70.0%. Meanwhile, Ken solidified gains in Volta (50.8%) and Bono (53.0%). In his home region, Eastern, Dr. Bryan Acheampong rose to 21.7%.
Sanity Africa warns that despite Ken’s current edge, “the contest remains fluid.” They intend to release a Phase Three survey in January 2026. Campaign messaging, strategic endorsements, and ground operations are expected to play pivotal roles in shaping the final delegate landscape.